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2014 NFL Mock Draft

Profetta’s 2013 NFL Mock Draft – Three Rounder

Posted by Micheal Profetta On December - 1 - 2012
"Manti Te'o"

How high can Te’o go?

1. Kansas City Chiefs- Geno Smith QB West Virginia

Because as things stand, the Chiefs don’t have much of a choice in the matter.

The runner-up: Star Lotulelei

2. Jacksonville Jaguars- Star Lotulelei DT Utah

Forget about Jason Babin; adding a pass-rusher should still be batting leadoff in Jacksonville’s to-do list. Babin is perfectly fine if you want an old guy with drawn-on eyebrows who is a welcome mat vs. the run, and is only effective in a Wide-9 scheme coached by Jim Washburn. Beyond that, he’s garbage. However, I’m guessing that the Jags make a run at a free agent pass-rusher like Michael Johnson, Cliff Avril, or Osi Umenyiora (all raised in the southeast region), and/or give Andre Branch another season to develop. So it’s on to the interior D-line.

Terrance Knighton has one foot out the door and the other on a banana peel. Lotulelei is a relatively safe pick who could fill the need for a dominant, defensive anchor.

The runner-up: Bjoern Werner DE/OLB Florida State

3. Oakland Raiders- Manti Te’o ILB Notre Dame

By replacing Rolando McClain with Te’o, Reggie McKenzie would be doing much more than simply filling an obvious need; he would be taking a huge step out from the shadow of Al Davis, and another huge step toward redefining the Raider persona. This is one of those, “so perfect that it probably won’t happen” scenarios.

The runner-up: Bjoern Werner DE/OLB Florida State

4. Cleveland Browns- Bjoern Werner DE/OLB Florida State

San Diego may be interested in jumping ahead of the Eagles and Panthers to grab Luke Joeckel, so this could be a prime “trade down” spot…but it’s way too early to open up that can of worms. For now, the Browns go with nation’s sack leader (13) to energize the pass rush.

The runner-up: Damontre Moore DE/OLB Texas A & M

5. Philadelphia Eagles- Luke Joeckel OT Texas A & M

Jason Peters should be good to go in 2013, but at 31 years old and at $10.4 million, will the new Philadelphia regime want him around during the infancy of the rebuilding process? I’m guessing that if Joeckel is available to the Eagles, Peters is history.

The runner-up: Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia

6. Carolina Panthers- Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia

Jon Beason ($5.25 million) and Thomas Davis ($4.25 million) are cap casualties waiting to happen. With Luke Kuechly entrenched in the middle, SLB James Anderson could switch to the weak side, creating a spot for Jones.

I hate to slot Jones this low. He continues to be a highly productive difference-maker, especially in big games. However, the concerns regarding his measurables and spinal stenosis are legitimate. Even if Jones tears it up against Alabama’s vaunted O-line, he should be mocked with extreme caution until the Combine and predraft medical evaluations offer more clarity.

The runner-up: Dee Milliner CB Alabama    

7. Buffalo Bills- Damontre Moore DE/OLB Texas A & M

Chris Kelsay will be a cap casualty and Mark Anderson has the look of a free agent bust. The uberconsistent Moore would be a deluxe welcoming gift for whoever replaces soon-to-be-unemployed defensive coordinator Dave Wannstedt.

For those of you who are wondering if I considered one of the QBs here, I have two words for you: Michael Vick. For those of you who don’t think that Nix and Gailey would be foolish enough to roll the dice on a guy like Vick, I have two more words for you: Shawne Merriman. This is simply a poorly-run organization.

The runner-up: Dee Milliner CB Alabama

8. San Diego Chargers- Taylor Lewan OT Michigan

It’s simple; when Philip Rivers has a clean pocket in which to operate, he’s excellent. When he doesn’t, things get ugly. Jared Gaither is damaged goods, and decent blindside protectors hit the open market about as often as Halley’s Comet whizzes by Earth. No matter if it’s Joeckel, Lewan, Jake Matthews, or even Eric Fisher, the Chargers have to come out of the first round with a quality left tackle.

The runner-up: Dee Milliner CB Alabama 

9. New York Jets- Dion Jordan OLB Oregon

Calvin Pace, Bryan Thomas, and Bart Scott are dead men walking in New York. The Jets will be rebuilding the linebacker corps around

Scott Olmos-US PRESSWIRE

David Harris this offseason, and while rookie Demario Davis appears ready to step in for Scott on the inside, there’s a desperate need for youth and athleticism on the outside.

When he’s not busy in the opponent’s backfield, Jordan (6-7/240) often lines up as the nickel corner in Oregon’s defense. Seriously. Barkevious Mingo has got nothing on this guy.

The runner-up: Barkevious Mingo OLB LSU

10. Tennessee Titans- Johnathan Hankins DT Ohio State

Hankins’ draft stock has taken some dings due to concerns about his motor. Regardless, I doubt that he’ll slip beyond the top 12 picks. Guys with his combination of size and athleticism don’t come around too often, so when they do, they pop off quickly. Recent prospects who are similar to Hankins, like Dontari Poe (#11/2012), B.J. Raji (#9/2009), and Haloti Ngata (#12/2006), all had “questionable motor” scribbled below the “negatives” column of their respective predraft scouting reports. It didn’t matter much in the end.

Hankins is inconsistent, but he’s a much more proven commodity than Poe was coming out of Memphis. Big Hank is also capable of putting on a show at the Combine similar to what we saw with Poe back in February. Considering all of these factors, not to mention the fact that the ’13 draft crop looks to be much weaker than the ’12 offering, I just don’t see how Hankins escapes the top ten.

I love Jurrell Casey and Mike Martin at DT in Tennessee, but both are undersized and would be even more effective in a rotation with a space-eating behemoth like Hankins.

The runner-up: Chance Warmack OG Alabama

11. Arizona Cardinals- Barkevious Mingo OLB LSU

The Cardinals always seem to draft upside instead of filling obvious needs. Until that trend ends, I’ll just keep on slotting the best available athlete to them. In this instance, that would be Mingo.

The fact that a pass-rusher as tall, fast, fluid, and lengthy as Mingo has amassed only 4.5 TFL this far into the season is concerning. Hell, Matt Elam (all 5’10” of him) has 10 TFL. Mingo’s no-shows vs. D.J. Fluker and Jake Matthews offer more cause for alarm. On the plus side, Mingo is a team leader with a solid motor and instincts…and we all know how far a blazing forty and tardactyl wingspan can take a guy in the predraft process. Mingo shouldn’t get past Arizona, who could use a pass-rushing upgrade from incumbent OLBs Sam Acho and O’Brien Schofield.

The runner-up: Matt Elam S Florida

12. Detroit Lions- Dee Milliner CB Alabama

It’s a given that Martin Mayhew will draft the BPA. In this scenario, the BPA is Nagurski finalist Dee Milliner. The Lions have been able to get away with trotting out journeymen like Jacob Lacey, Drayton Florence, and Alphonso Smith at RCB thanks to the strong pressure created by their talented, Wide-9 defensive line, but a difference-maker like Milliner would be a welcome addition opposite Chris Houston.

The runner-up: Chance Warmack OG Alabama

13. St. Louis Rams- Chance Warmack OG Alabama

Left tackle Rodger Saffold has been rock solid since returning from a Week Two knee injury, and RT Barry Richardson has responded well to some lights-out coaching from resident miracle-worker Paul Boudreau, so no Jake Matthews here. Now, left guard Shelley Smith, on the other hand…let’s just say that Warmack, who many consider to be the best O-lineman available in this draft, would offer a pronounced upgrade.

The runner-up: Matt Elam S Florida

14. Miami Dolphins- Terrance Williams WR Baylor

Jeff Ireland has some tough decisions to make next offseason. Miami could be sitting at roughly $40 million under the cap heading into free agency, which bodes well for a potential signing like Dwayne Bowe or Greg Jennings. However, the Dolphins have an imposing list of impending free agents (Sean Smith, Brian Hartline, Randy Starks, Jake Long, Reggie Bush, Anthony Fasano, Chris Clemons…), so a lot of that cap space could be eaten up quickly. There’s no guarantee that Miami will be able to afford a shiny, new #1 WR in free agency. Until the free agency period offers some clarity, the need for a #1 WR for Ryan Tannehill to lean on should remain at the top of Miami’s priority list.

Terrance Williams has amassed 89 catches, 1,693 yards, and 12 TDs through 11 games. Those are Texas Tech/Crabtree-type numbers. An incredibly consistent performer and ideal size/speed package, Williams’ exploits have surely been noticed by Ireland (a Baylor alum) and OC Mike Sherman, who watched helplessly from the sideline as Williams victimized the Texas A & M defense with 8 catches, 146 yards, and a TD back in 2011.

The runner-up: Jake Matthews OT Texas A & M

15. St. Louis Rams (from Washington)- Matt Elam S Florida

I see Elam as a similar prospect to Kendall Wright. Scouts will pick apart his physical limitations throughout the predraft process, but his game tape will ultimately demand a spot in the mid-first round. How some folks are still slotting Eric Reid and even T.J. McDonald ahead of Elam in their safety rankings is beyond me. Elam’s aggressiveness and versatile skill set make him the ideal fit as the last line of defense in Jeff Fisher’s Buddy Ryan-inspired “46” scheme.

The runner-up: Jake Matthews OT Texas A & M

16. New Orleans Saints- Ezekiel Ansah DE/OLB BYU

The Saints stop unit should be getting a makeover next offseason. I expect them to salvage Cameron Jordan, Akiem Hicks, Martez Wilson, Patrick Robinson, and Malcolm Jenkins; the rest could be tossed into the fire.

The Saints will simply draft the most talented defensive prospect on the board. Anthony Barr, Sheldon Richardson, and John Jenkins could all stake a claim to that title in this scenario, but I’m going with Ansah. His phenomenal athleticism and versatility should play well at OLB in a remodeled defense that could show more 3-4 looks next season.

The runner-up: Anthony Barr OLB UCLA

  • Reggie

    I am not sure of most of the third round but it is very early so why not. As a Lions fan I am okay with the DeMarcus Millner pick. Not sure if he is better than Logan Ryan but it is early so we can assume its possible. Houston and Millner is solid. With Te’o, Werner, Moore all gone then CB is a possibility though Elam might be a better choice. In Round 2 with Barrett Jones there that would be an amazing Lions pickup. Jackson Jeffcoat is talented…how is his injury doing? If he is 100 percent back then I am all for it. Brown would be a nice pickup. Solid draft but OL is lacking and Stafford’s regression is to blame on it slightly.

    • Mprofetta

      It’s nearly impossible to predict what direction Detroit will go in during the draft with all of their free agency uncertainty. So many guys to resign and so little cap space. Here’s my best guess as to how it plays out:

      1)They cut Backus, KVB, Burleson, Peterman, Corey Williams, and restructure Raiola in order to free up some cap space.

      2)They Franchise Delmas. Given his injury history, signing him long-term is too risky, yet they can’t afford to lose him. The Franchise tag is the logical solution.

      3)They resign Houston, Levy, and Cherilus, and let Avril, Durant and Hanson walk. Losing Avril would sting, but he’s not elite, and shouldn’t be payed as so. Houston should be the #1 priority.

      In that scenario, DE becomes Detroit’s greatest need. Willie Young probably gets a shot at one DE spot, but another starter will have to be located in the draft, perhaps in the first round. CB, RG, #2WR, S, and OLB would be next on the to-do list.

      With Werner, Moore, Jordan, and Mingo off the board, it came down to Milliner, Warmack, and Elam for me a #12, with some consideration given to Ansah and Barr. Logan Ryan is on the rise, but I still think that Milliner has some cushion between himself and the rest of the CB pack. Warmack is a stud, but it’s much easier to find a serviceable guard than a potential shutdown corner. I love Elam, but his style is too similar to Delmas’. You can’t have two kamikazes at safety; one of them has to play the role of the straight man. Milliner was a pretty easy choice.

      As far as I know, Jeffcoat is doing fine following surgery for the pec. Word is that he’s almost definitely returning to Texas, so he won’t be in my next mock. Barrett Jones would be a nice pick for the Lions, but I felt that the need at DE was too great to ignore in the second round. I’m sure that I’ll have the Lions going with three different guys in my next mock.

      • Reggie

        I cannot argue with this analogy. Very well thought out. I agree with those let go. Backus and KVB are breaking down and have decent cap numbers. Burleson the same. Peterman or Raiola will be gone. Correy Williams will go before Sammie Lee Hill. Franchising Delmas is the way to go. Cherlius and Houston are near locks to be brought back. Hanson and Durant are the ones to go since Levy is more important (He can play MLB as well as OLB). Elam would be nice but Millner would be a nice CB to pair with Houston. Lions place little value in interior OL talent. Barrett Jones is the ultimate pickup for the Lions. His versatilty would be just what Schwartz wants. I do not think the Lions would take Barr or Ansah over Millner. What are your thoughts on Alex Okafor?

        • Mprofetta

          I like Okafor. A smart player and a versatile, consistent producer. I’d take him over Sam Montgomery. I think that he’s one of those “high floor” players…he won’t be elite, but will probably be a solid starter at the next level. I’m curious to see what he looks like in workouts. Could go anywhere from the 20s to the mid-second round.

  • Jeremy

    Why did you do that to me Mike? A few mock drafts ago you didn’t even have Terrance Williams in the first round and I questioned you about that, hoping he went to the Texans and now you have him going number 14. Breaking my heart man!

    • Mprofetta

      NFL’s Future…breaking hearts since 2010.

      I think that you replied to one of Brad’s recent mocks, but I’m guilty of missing the early departure on the Terrance Williams bus, so I’ll take the heat on this one. I’m pretty sure that Brad has actually had Williams at the top of his WR rankings for a while. It’s no accident that Brad is always one step ahead of the pack when it comes to player evaluation. The guy does his homework. That’s why he’s one of the best at what he does.

      Me, on the other hand…I’m easily distracted. It took me a while to get around to doing my homework on Williams. When I finally did, he peeled my cap back. His talents transcend Baylor’s scheme. I doubt Williams makes it to the Texans, but Cordarrelle Patterson is a nice consolation prize, IMO.

      • bradc11

        Spot on with breaking hearts since 2010.

        I have been the culprit for ranking Williams as my top senior WR and leaving him out of round one of my mock drafts. This WR class is a tough one to evaluate. Just no one that stands out. All of them have their issues. I will have to wait until after bowl games, all star games and Combine before I have a firm grasp on this WR class. Maybe then, I’ll have a more consistent take on Williams and all the other WR’s. I’ve been all over the board on them.

  • Duncan

    Love the Bills picks!

    As much as I would like Tyler Wilson to fall too the Bills in the second round, I dont think he will. With how much QBs these days are over hyped and over priced he would be taken by the Jags or Oakland before he fell to the bills in the second.

    • Mprofetta

      You’re probably right. Tyler Wilson is a charismatic gamer who will impress evaluators in Mobile. There’s a good chance that he’ll work his way into the first round, maybe even into the top 10-15…but that hasn’t happened yet. Like Barkley and Glennon, I’m in “wait and see” mode with him. I love Wilson’s makeup, but his scattershot arm scares me a bit.

      There’s been a lot of desperate reaches for QBs in the first round of the last few drafts, but I’m not sure if that trend will last much longer. NFL decision-makers have surely noticed how 2011 1st-round reaches Gabbert, Ponder, and Locker have struggled, while 2nd-round values Dalton and Kaepernick have found success. The value at the top of the 2013 Draft is on the defensive side of the ball. Maybe 2nd-round values like Barkley, Glennon, and Wilson will actually be selected in the second round this time around.

  • neigherhood drunk

    Like the 1st and 3rd round picks for the steelers, but Mprofetta, An WR(Da’Rick Rogers)in the second round over an ILB(Kevin Minter,maybe Gerald Hodges) or a RB? Why?

    • Mprofetta

      Because Larry Foote has played well this season, and it’s too early to write off Sean Spence. If/when Spence recovers from that ugly knee injury, he could join Timmons in nickel packages, while Foote continues to handle the dirty work on running downs. The Steelers are okay there.

      Deep-threat Mike Wallace is probably gone after this season. The signing of Plaxico Burress shows how desperate the Steelers are for a legit red-zone target. They haven’t had one since…Plaxico Burress. Da’Rick Rogers is a red-zone threat and deep threat rolled into one. He’s a risky pick, but a good value in the mid-late second.

      As for a RB, I don’t think it will be a high-priority position for Pittsburgh in the ’13 Draft. Dwyer/Redman/Batch/Rainey offer good potential. I’m also completely unimpressed by what’s available beyond Giovani Bernard in the ’13 RB class. I like Eddie Lacy, but he’s not in my mock until he officially declares.

      • neigherhood drunk

        1.Understandable, but Larry Foote’s contract is up after this season(great chance he won’t be back in 2013) and Sean Spence is Timmons back up(mack ILB) not Foote’s back up(Buck ILB).

        2.I think Wallace will be back next year but Sanders and Cotchery probably be gone after this season. I agree with you that the steelers need to draft a red-zone threat, not in the second round though. Speaking of WR’s, What’s your opinion of these following WR’s(Jordan Matthews,Quinton Patten,Nicholas Edwards, and Aaron Mellette).

        3.Dwyer and Redman will be free agents after this season, and haven’t shown that they are starting RB material.

        • Mprofetta

          I’m not suggesting that Spence would be Foote’s replacement as a starter, just his replacement in passing situations. I like Spence, but I thought that he was a curious pick for the Steelers. He doesn’t fit their usual ILB profile.

          Foote probably isn’t going anywhere. He’s been arguably the most consistent performer in Pittsburgh’s front seven this season, and the Steelers usually take care of their own…but I could be wrong.

          I think that the only way Wallace stays is if he’s Franchised. He wants to be paid like an elite WR, and there are teams that would happily meet his demands out of desperation for a big-play threat. If he hits the open market, I’m guessing the Steelers let him walk. I don’t think that Sanders (restricted) is going anywhere.

          I like Matthews, but I don’t think he declares. I caught Patton vs. S.D. State and have done some follow-up homework on him. Kinda slight, but gets separation and has a great feel for the game. He’s one to watch at the Senior Bowl. Haven’t watched Edwards and Mellette yet. Postseason All-star games will be telling. A guy I like as a mid-round sleeper for the Steelers is Rodney Smith. Every time I watch FSU and see Smith, I just think “Steelers”. Great size and vertical ability. He’s exactly what Pittsburgh needs.

          I think that Dwyer is a great fit in Pittsburgh. He’s restricted, so I doubt that he goes anywhere.

          As always, good stuff, n.d. I like your style…knowledgeable and slightly combative. Few guys can pull that off properly.

          • neigherhood drunk

            True, Foote has been consistent all season, but he will be 33 year old when the 2013 starts, and still slow. The steelers do take care of their own, usually younger players though. Wouldn’t be shock, if they drafted a OLB like Sean Porter,Gerald Hodges,Trevardo Williams,Zaviar Gooden or Chase Thomas and move him to ILB like we did Timmons. Do you think that those four guys at 3-4 ILB?

            I hope Wallace don’t go :(.

            Damn, I forget all about Smith for FSU. I would love to have Smith on the team. Good call.

            I agree, Dwyer is a good fit for the steelers. Just not a 3-down back nor a game changer. We need a game changer at RB.

            Thanks, I appreciate the compliment.

  • si1ver

    The last 6 drafts, in the 1st round, the Cards have drafted positions of need LT, CB, RB, NT, CB, WR. 2nd WR was a big need last year (back then I had it QB, OL, WR). Last year teams that could cover Larry FItzgerald down shut down our whole offense. Michael Floyd is finally coming to his own now. You’re right though, the last 3 years they drafted BPA near slavishly but in the first round need was probably 50% of the decision.

    The Cardinals don’t need DL in the 1st. They’re #5 in pass defense and tied for 5th most sacks. It’s OL or QB in the 1st. Here in Arizona it feels like there would be riots in the streets if they don’t go OL or QB. Like if KC passed on a good QB or New England passed on a good DB/DL. Joeckel, Lewan, Matthews, Jones, Warmack, Fisher all seem like legit 1st round OL to me and we need to draft one of them. RG is our biggest hole but if a LT has the most value then we need to take him. Levi or Massie can be pushed to OG. Even healthy our current depth would suck and an injury would cripple our season again.

    I like Wilson and Murray and probably Bray over Glennon (enough to trade up a little to get them). We can draft one of them and sit them behind Kolb (until they have to replace Kolb when Kolb’s injured midseason).

    ONLY ONE RB IN THE FIRST THREE ROUNDS?!?!?!??!?!?!?!?!!!

    • Mprofetta

      I think that Floyd was a pure value pick. Arizona went into the ’12 draft with Fitzgerald/Roberts/Doucet at WR…not the best, but definitely not bad. I’d say that the need for a WR was firmly behind QB, any O-line position but LG, CB, OLB, TE, the ILB spot next to Washington, and safety depth. Peterson was a no-brainer value pick that happened to fill a need, and Beanie Wells slipped to where he was too valuable to pass up, even though Arizona had a serviceable starter in Hightower.

      With the Mingo pick, Arizona would be addressing OLB, not the D-line. Much of their defensive success this season is due to the brilliance of Ray Horton’s blitzing schemes, the D-line, and an All-World season from Daryl Washington. I think they could upgrade from Lenon, Schofield, and Acho. Schofield is too injury-prone to be relied on. Adrian Wilson is done in Arizona, and the SS position is crucial in Horton’s Blitzburgh-inspired scheme. Elam would a nice fit, IMO.

      Warmack was right there with Mingo and Elam for me at #11. He would be a great pick for the Cards. Jake Matthews is a RT, and Arizona seems okay with Massie at RT going forward. I like Fisher, but #11 seems like a reach.

      I don’t like the ’13 crop of RBs. It’s Bernard, then 3rd-4th round-types like Taylor, Franklin, and Gillislee. Eddie Lacy goes 2nd round if he declares. Teams don’t really value RBs anymore, and most teams just don’t have much of a need at the position. Outside of the Packers and (maybe) the Falcons, can you name one team who will be in desperate need of a RB going into the ’13 Draft? I’d say there may be a moderate need in Dallas, Cincinnati, and San Diego…maybe the Jets. That’s it.

      I think that Glennon would be a great fit in Arizona’s vertical scheme. Not a big Bray fan. I’m “wait and see” on Murray and Wilson. Thanks for the comments…good stuff.

  • Ryan

    I don’t get all the love for Taylor Lewan. I don’t see him as a top 15 player. Seems like I’m alone in that thinking but was bad against Bama and OSU and very average against ND. Looked good against bad competition like Iowa. Just not impressed.

    • Mprofetta

      You’re definitely not alone. Judging from a lot of comments I’ve received, Lewan is a polarizing prospect. No one is saying that Lewan is Jon Ogden, but as a pure left tackle with tremendous upside, he offers a ton of value. I think that he’s a little closer to Nate Solder than Joe Thomas, but he’ll pop off in the top 15.

  • SSG S

    I am a Steeler fan, and you are completely nuts in this mock if you have the Steelers passing up Barrett Jones and Jesse Williams from Bama. Jones would probably beat out Colon @LG but Colon won’t be on the team. Jones would give the Steelers the options they like bc he can play all 5 of the O line positions. Williams is the same thing just a TATTOOED monster that could push for playing time in yr 1, and learn from Hamp. Williams screams Steelers he can rotate in at all 3 Dline positions.

    • Mprofetta

      I’m not sure what makes you think Colon is going anywhere. He has improved tremendously at LG as the season has unfolded. Colon/Pouncey/DeCastro is a rock-solid interior. The Steelers have much bigger fish to fry.

      I thought about Jesse Williams, but I don’t like him in the 1st round. He’s a great run-stuffer, and although he’s fairly versatile, he offers no kind of pass rush…kinda one-dimensional, and a bit overrated, IMO. Tattoos don’t impress me.

      Hampton is still playing well. Pittsburgh can get by with Hampton/McLendon for one more season. Ta’amu is on the practice squad, so although his career has got off to a rocky start, the organization must see some potential in him.

  • Nicholas Pavlou

    Giants won’t be taking a DE. They’re moving Kiwanuka back to DE and have Ojomo waiting in the wings. This pick will likely be CB

    • Mprofetta

      You could be right. I’m not sure if how much longer they can keep Webster around at his price. I was very close to pulling the trigger on Rhodes or Roby at #24, but liked the value with Montgomery. I’d keep Kiwi at SLB. He’s a unique, effective force at the position, and there’s no in-house replacement.

    • bradc11

      It’s a bit early to say what they are doing with Kiwanuka. I don’t see them weakening a position to add depth to another. Moving Kiwi leaves the SLB spot wide open. Williams isn’t ready to take over on the strong side. Reese will take the best value regardless of position. That’s a proven fact and he’s not going to vary from that strategy. Won 2 SB’s with it and learned from Ernie Accorsi. I have him taking a CB in my mock out tomorrow but only because of the value the pick has to offer.

  • clinton

    best mock draft i have seen so far, keep it up

    • Mprofetta

      Appreciate it. I’ll keep it up. Keep stopping by.

  • Bruce Almty

    I watched the Ravens lose @home to the Steelers last night…I’m not sure they can beat any AFC playoff team, wild card or otherwise. That said, they may be drafting in the 21/22 spot come April. That gives them many more choices/chances to improve.

    • Mprofetta

      The Ravens are frustrating. Just when it seems like they’re rolling, these lose a game that they have no business losing. It’s been a trend for a while now. I know that they have their injuries, but so do the Steelers. I don’t get it. You’re right, they have the look of a one-and-done team in the AFC Playoffs.

  • Alec

    Yea, the Bills won’t sign Michael Vick. Buddy Nix has openly said he is going to draft a QB this year. When he says something we do it. He said we needed a water-bug RB and we drafted CJ Spiller. Then he said we needed help in the secondary and we drafted Stephon Gilmore. Just because 2 years ago we took a flyer on Shawne Merrimen when we had zero pass rush doesn’t mean we take a flyer on Vick. Ralph Wilson said he would NEVER give him a chance when he came back into the league. Ralph hates him and he gets the final calls.

    • Mprofetta

      Nix may not be around to draft anybody. Nix said “I want to draft a franchise QB before I leave”. It seems that even Buddy sees the writing on the wall. Besides, even if Nix is around in April, the Bills will be drafting too low to get Geno Smith, and there aren’t any other QBs available who remotely resemble a franchise QB. I’m not saying that they won’t draft Wilson or Barkley in the first, but if they do draft one of them expecting him to be a franchise savior, it will be another in a long line of bad decisions, IMO.

      The Bills gave Merriman $10.5 million. That’s not taking a flyer, that’s grossly overpaying. Just like they grossly overpayed Fitzpatrick, Jackson, Kelsay, Pears, etc….and we haven’t even mentioned Terrell Owens. This organization doesn’t get it. A smart team would pay guys like Merriman and T.O. to stay away from them. I bet they would take on Vick.

      I know that the Bills haven’t exactly hid their draft day intentions over the last few years, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it will continue. I think that a big mistake people make when mocking a draft is grabbing onto some flimsy “trend’ to justify a pick for a certain team. It’s lazy. Trends are usually just mathematical coincidences, and are broken all the time. The only rule on draft day is to expect the unexpected.

  • Rich

    Imma Raiders fan. I like the Manti T’eo pick but like you said to good to be true.. then 3rd round I say they give Tyrann Mathieu a shot and put him at the FS spot and keep Micheal Huff at corner since he is doing a solid job. any thoughts?

    • Mprofetta

      Drafting Mathieu reeks of an Al Davis Raiders move. I think that Reggie McKenzie is trying to get away from all of that.

      I wouldn’t even think about drafting Mathieu before the fifth round. He was a very overrated prospect to begin with, and he’s rumored to have a serious drug problem. Let him be some other team’s headache.

      Huff’s versatility gives Oakland the option of going best available CB or FS in the third round if they decide to address the secondary at that point. Blidi Wreh-Wilson could be a nice get in the third.

  • Bengals Fan

    Living in Ohio, I’m very surprised on how poorly executed the Bengals draft was. I agree on Peko not being elite, he certainly isn’t worth replacing in the first round. With Geno next to him, he more than makes up for it. Still has looked promising, so it wouldn’t make much sense.

    The second pick leaves even more to be desired, as DE is more locked up than DT. True Michael Johnson is a free agent, however, the Bengals cap floor problems will force them to re-sign him. Okafor is also vastly ovverrated and wouldn’t be a good selection for the Bengals.

    The third pick, the pick in the late second is right on the money. Both need and BPA collide and the Bengals selct Eric Reid, nice job.

    • Mprofetta

      I appreciate the feedback. If the Bengals want to keep Andre Smith and Michael Johnson around, they’ll have to trim some fat. I really think that Peko gets the boot. In that scenario, who starts next to Atkins? Pat Sims is a bust, Thompson isn’t ready, and Still isn’t a run-stopper. Still does look promising, but he would be a poor complement to Atkins on the interior. Zimmer shows a lot of 3-4 looks…I can’t see Still as a nose. Jenkins could fill Peko’s role as space-eater, and would be younger, cheaper, and more talented alternative.

      Everybody on Cincinnati’s DE depth chart is an impending free agent, save for Carlos Dunlap, who’s going into the final year of his deal and has been a relative disappointment. I’m not sure how that position could be considered “locked up” heading into the offseason. I don’t think that Okafor is overrated. He’s usually found in the late first/second round of mock drafts. That’s about right, IMO.

      Reid to Cincy would be perfect. He’s the kind of big, physical safety that Zimmer likes. It’s such a perfect match that I was hesitant to pull the trigger.

  • Chuck

    I agree with the Eagles pick, they really need to sure up the oline that has been so bad this year , I know there were guys hurt but they were still bad! I don’t think they will let Peters go though.

    • Mprofetta

      The Eagles had a Murphy’s Law season. Offensive lines are most effective when there’s continuity, so when the injury bug settles in like we’ve seen in Philly, it’s usually disastrous. I could be wrong on Peters, but if Joeckel is available to them, I could be right. It’s still early.

  • sean s.

    Awful eagles draft.No safety?let Jason Peters go?are you serious?he was clearly the best o lineman in the entire nfl before his injury.he’ll be ready to go next season.and im not sure aaron murray will even come out this year.even if he does what’s the point in taking a rd2 qb?We need a franchise guy not a career backup. Rd1:Teo Rd2:eric reidRd3.kawaan short strengthen the middle of that soft ass poor excuse for a NFL defense.let peters go you must be fucking crazy.

    • Mprofetta

      I appreciate that as an Eagles fan you are thoroughly frustrated right now, but that’s no reason to come into our neighborhood and yell profanities. My Jets suck, but that doesn’t mean I’m catching the next flight to Philly so I can run down the street venting at the top of my lungs. It’s just a mock draft, man.

      With the Joeckel pick, it was all about value and economics. Joeckel is arguably the best prospect in the draft, and while Peters is a fine LT, he’s aging and expensive…two words that don’t usually jive with the rebuilding process.

      I recognize the need at safety in Philadelphia, but after you guys dump a bunch of hefty contracts (Vick, DeMeco Ryans, and Scrabble, to name a few), you should have ample cash to dip into what should be a quality group of free agent safeties (Jairus Byrd, William Moore, Louis Delmas, Chris Clemons, Kenny Phillips, LaRon Landry, Dashon Goldson, etc.). Guys like Kerry Rhodes, Antoine Bethea, Charles Woodson, and Roman Harper could be cap casualties and available on the cheap. Finding a few decent safeties shouldn’t be too difficult.

      As for your criticism of the Murray pick, I have breaking news for you; there are no franchise QBs available. Why not take a chance with Murray in the second and see if you get an Andy Dalton/Russell Wilson-type bargain?

      Thanks for the comments.

      • sean s.

        Firstly,i apologize for offending your sensitive nature with the f word.i sometimes forget how classy you jets fans are.secondly,im fully aware that there are no franchise QBs in this class.having as many needs as the eagles do,i feel they would be better off taking a position where an immediate upgrade is available.i don’t believe murray to be that kind of upgrade over foles.i agree that they could find a safety in FA but i kinda would rather them focus on jake long.they’ll have the most cap space in the nfl.long on the left and the ancient jason peters on the right would be ridiculous.assuming old man peters hasn’t disintegrated into a pile of dust and money.and on top of it all our qb issue should be solved because i fully expect new england to cut the aging and expensive tom brady.seems legit right?

        • Mprofetta

          Wow.

  • Joe

    3 rounds and no offensive line help for the cowboys? I pray you are wrong.

  • http://www.facebook.com/richard.vaux1 Richard Vaux

    impact players austin williams and hopkins running back is barnard sleeper kershawn unk from utah state.lot of good running backs out there.too many negitive vibes