NFL's Future

2014 NFL Mock Draft

2013 NFL Mock Draft – Bjoern Werner moving up quickly

Posted by Brad On November - 27 - 2012
"Luke Joeckel"

Mandatory Credit: Thomas Campbell

Let’s preface this again by saying that I think Matt Barkley winds up in the first round of the 2013 NFL Draft but I see it coming via trade in the latter portions of round one, ala Brady Quinn.  Ouch that comparison hurts.  Another name that will be popping up is Aaron Murray.  If Murray can take it to the ‘Bama defense and find his way into the National Title game, he will see a major rise in his draft stock, should he decide to declare.  Anyways, here’s my latest 2013 NFL Mock Draft, as always feel free to leave comments.

1. Kansas City Chiefs – Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

There’s not a lot of good in KC right now.  Massive and sweeping changes are needed as no one appears safe.  It will start with the GM and work it’s way down to all ranks of this coaching staff.  April will signal the dawn of a new era of quarterback play in KC as the Chiefs distance themselves from Matt Cassel.  Geno Smith hasn’t played as well as of late but is the best option available.  I don’t see this pick as a massive reach but with no clear cut No. 1 pick, he makes too much sense for a team in need.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars – Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

I flip flopped from Bjoern to Damontre and back to Bjoern.  Werner is an impressive prospect that will only get better with NFL coaching.  Jacksonville creates no pressure on opposing QB’s and I can’t see them sticking with a starting tandem of Jeremy Mincey and Andre Branch.  Mincey could be relegated to the bench as they choose to see what they have in Branch.  Werner gives them an immediate disruptive force off the edge that everyone is seeking.

3. Oakland Raiders – Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah

This pick has to be spent along the front seven.  This pick could be Manti Te’o, Jarvis Jones, Damontre Moore or really any front seven impact player.  But I think they turn the page on the aging middle of their defensive line.  Tommy Kelly is almost assured of being a cap casualty leaving a spot in the middle for Lotulelei.  Let’s see if Star can rejuvenate Richard Seymour.

4. Philadelphia Eagles – Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

If Luke Joeckel is on the board when the Eagles select it should be a mad sprint to the podium.  They get nothing out of their current tackle rotation and Jason Peters is aging and injured.  Joeckel is my top rated prospect in the draft and carries a higher grade than 2012 4th pick, Matt Kalil.

5. Cleveland Browns – Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

It seems that wherever the Browns pick, Jarvis Jones tends to find a landing spot.  The Browns defense has played fairly well as of late but are in need of an impact pass rusher to team with a solid defensive line.  This pick is most likely a DE or OLB but if Jones checks out medically he has to get consideration in the top five.

6. Carolina Panthers – Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan

DT is a major need but I think Johnathan Hankins slips a bit because of his inconsistent play late in the season.  The Panthers could use some help in protecting Cam Newton.  This selection allows Jordan Gross to slide to the right side and Lewan man Newton’s blind side.

"Manti Te'o"7. San Diego Chargers – Manti Te’o, LB, Notre Dame

After watching San Diego this week it solidified my belief that they absolutely need to come away from this draft with offensive line help.  That said, I can’t see them passing on a talent like Te’o early in this draft.  The OL will have to wait until later rounds, not making Phillip Rivers a happy camper.

8. Buffalo Bills – Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas

This pick wasn’t very popular in my last mock but I’m sticking with Wilson to the Bills.  Chan Gailey may get a lifeline and rest his future hopes on a rookie, it’s better than Fitz.  I really like the fit of Wilson with Chan Gailey and Buffalo.

9. Tennessee Titans – Matt Elam, SS, Florida

The play of the Titans safeties has been abysmal.  I really can’t see them going into next season with the combo of Jordan Babineaux and Michael Griffin.  Elam is a solid all around safety that is reminiscent of Earl Thomas.  His size may be the only downside to Elam’s game and it will be overlooked with his play in 2012.

10. Detroit Lions – Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M

If Damontre Moore makes it down to Detroit, fans should be jumping for joy.  I think Moore is good enough to warrant a top five selection, so snagging him with the 10th pick constitutes a steal for Martin Mayhew.

11. Arizona Cardinals – Mike Glennon, QB, North Carolina State

Glennon was clearly the most unpopular pick in my last mock draft but I’m sticking with the N.C. State signal caller.  I think his skill set warrants a top 15 pick in this draft.  Arizona has nothing at the QB position and can’t feel comfortable going into 2013 with John Skelton, Kevin Kolb, and Ryan Lindley.  I see a Brandon Weeden type season from Glennon in year one.

12. New York Jets – Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA

It’s looking less and less that Rex Ryan (or Mike Tannenbaum for that matter) will be with the team in 2013.  The Jets are in need of playmakers on either side of the ball.  Barr is a one-year wonder with an out-of-this-world skill set.  He’s exactly the type of player the Jets should be looking at in this draft.  An impact player that can pressure the quarterback…sign me up.

13. St. Louis Rams – Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama

Has Sam Bradford been David Carr-ed?  The Rams are in desperate need of help on the offensive line.  Warmack is the best of available OL and one could make a case for him being the second best OL in this draft.  He’s a special talent at the guard position that warrants a top 15 selection.

14. Miami Dolphins – Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

I think the Dolphins let Jake Long walk, which would put Jake Matthews in play.  For now, I’m sticking with a corner for the Dolphins are 26th against the pass and have little quality or depth at cornerback and should use a pick in the top two rounds on the position.

15. St. Louis Rams (f/WAS) – Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU

Mingo could play a Von Miller role in Jeff Fisher’s defense.  I really like the marriage of Mingo and Fisher and think this is a phenomenal landing spot for the ultra talented DE.  His conversion to standing up should be an easy one.  This selection makes too much sense to neglect.

16. Dallas Cowboys – Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M

If Jake Matthews is on the board when Dallas selects and he’s not the pick, Jerry Jones should fire himself.  Matthews is a great fit and gives Dallas a couple of bookends to protect Tony Romo’s life.  Romo has taken a beating this year making OL a must in the early rounds of our 2013 NFL Mock Draft.

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  • Jim Terry

    Just a question, I haven’t seen him play at all but why Matt Elam in the top 10? I haven’t seen that pick anywhere else. Also, Anthony Barr is a name that isn’t in many mock drafts, yet you have him inside the top 15. I’m familiar with Barr (live outside San Diego) but not sure he’s going that high.

    • bradc11

      Jim,

      Elam is a guy that I’m high on. Reminds me of Earl Thomas. Outside of his size, he’s got the tools to be a very good safety in the NFL. If Barr declares for the draft, he’s going to go high. A ton of upside and a lot of teams look at that factor. His ceiling is enormous.

  • Joe

    Definitely one of my favorite mocks I’ve seen so far. But I think that Jarvis should be the first defensive player off the board. I love the Matt Elam selection, I myself was wondering if I had mocked him too high but I can see Philly taking him in the 5-10 range. Think glennon is a bit too high and also Montgomery should e top 15 if not top 10. He’s way more disruptive than mingo. (at least in the games I’ve watched this year)

    • bradc11

      Joe,

      I’m a fan of Elam. I’m four games into my evaluation of him and haven’t seen much I didn’t like with him. Glennon is a guy that I’m higher on than most. NFL tools coming out of a pro system. For me, Montgomery lacks the upside of Mingo. Neither was very disruptive or productive this year. Also concerned that his work ethic was bad enough that coaches posted a sign up for scouts. That’s concerning.

  • Reggie

    I think this is a very solid mock draft. Geno Smith right now is the #1 pick but he’s barely holding on. Aaron Murphy and the Alabama QB AJ McCarrain (spelled wrong I am sure) could cause some commotion. Werner’s draft spot is in limbo. I think he is the best DE in the draft and he is the #1 player I want the Lions to take. #2 might be a tad high but is certainly possible. Like the Mingo connection with Fischer. GReat fit. I would be hesitant on Ansah…I just do not love him. Logan Ryan is right on Millner’s butt. I am always hesitant on Alabama secondary players due to the play of their front 7. John Jenkins would be a great pick for the Patriots due to his scheme versatility. I also prefer Ertz due to his better speed. As a Lions fan Damontre Moore would be a great pickup and then in Round 2 target: Giovanni Bernard, DeAndre Hopkins, Tyler Eiffert, Barrett Jones, Gerald Hodges, Kevin Minter, Alec Ogletree, Kenny Vaccaro, or Tony Jefferson. Any of those would be great.

  • FloridaTexan

    Always enjoy your mocks. Different picks and good projections into future. I don’t watch enough college football to know enough about some of these guys but as a diehard Gator fan, i can say Matt Elam is the real deal. I’m hoping he stays another year but that’s unlikely. He’s the best safety in the country, hands down.

    • bradc11

      Thanks FloridaTexan. You and I are on the same page with Elam. I’m glad you admitted you didn’t watch enough college football but still gave your take on a player you do watch.

  • Duncan

    Love the Bills pick. Wilson would be a great fit in Buffalo mostly because Gailey crafts the offense around the players he has; although recently Gailey has strayed from his teams strengths he still could build an offense around Wilson and his ability’s. some others palyers I would like the Bills to consider is C.J Mosley, Dion Jordan, and Damontre Moore all of these players have amazing potential to become great. I think Dion Jordan will be an amazing pass rusher with the right coaching and fine tuning of his ability’s, C.J. Mosley is a solid LB that would help the Bills out instantly, Moore seems like a magician the way he gets after the QB he is constantly getting a hand on QB, hitting the QB, pushing linemen into the QB he would be a great pick for the Bills.

    • bradc11

      Duncan,

      Agree completely on Wilson to Buffalo. It’s such a good fit if Gailey is still there. I’m a fan of Wilson’s. Love Jordan as well. I’m working on my updated top 100 and have him tenth. Moore is a steal at 10 for the Lions. You are spot on with your assessment. Even when he doesn’t get the sack, he’s disrupting the pocket. Solid post, keep it coming

  • wes

    When I watched the browns beat the steelers I was very disappointed in their run blocking and pass protecting! I was satisfied with their defense, although they could use a significant upgrade at DB! With that being said, I would love to see them trade back , depending on where they select! I would grab Chance Warmack, then use my newly aquired 2nd round pick to grab Gholston, Lemonier (illinois), Rhodes(fsu), or Vaccaro (texas)!

    • bradc11

      Wes,

      I, like you, am a Browns fan. I would tend to agree with you as the strength of this draft appears to be in the 2nd-3rd round range. I think they can pick up some value at that point. A draft to Warmack and Rhodes sounds great to me. Sign me up. I’m not a fan of Gholston and Lemonier is probably a 34 OLB with the lack of bulk to hold up against the run in the 43. Vaccaro would be nice as well. The Browns need help in the secondary. Couldn’t go wrong trading back in this draft. Not many sure things even at five. I love Jarvis Jones but he probably disappoints with lack of straight line speed, short arms, and medical concerns. Love his game, though. Adding a guy like Warmack to this line could turn it into one of the best in the league. Thomas, Warmack, Mack, Lauvao, Schwartz would be nice and Trent Richardson and Brandon Weeden would be very happy. They really do need a starting caliber corner to play opposite Haden. A couple of names in the 3rd to watch at the CB position are Leon McFadden (SDSU), Robert Alford (SE Louisiana), and possibly Desmond Trufant (Washington). Trufant is probably gone by the third but the other two could be guys that could play early.

  • neigherhood drunk

    Damn, Brad this is your best mock yet. I absolutely love the Dion Jordan pick.Excellent burst, edge speed, long arms, and display the ability to stay with RB’s,TE and slot WR in man coverage.

    • bradc11

      That’s saying a lot considering all the great mocks I’ve put out. Thanks and I like Jordan a lot. I just spent last night watching a ton of Jordan and think he’s a guy that can rise quickly. His versatility will be big in April and I think he winds up top 15 and possibly top 10.

  • bggatbdl

    Someone will see Barkley at the Combine and interview him and convince themselves he deserves to go high and his worth a top-10 pick. Tannehill is a good example of that.

    • bradc11

      Check out my film study on Barkley that will be out tomorrow at 720am EST. It highlights Barkley’s positives and negatives with my thoughts on fit. He’s a rhythm passer that would be solid in a west coast system. He will struggle in the vertical passing game with deep drops. He just isn’t a good enough athlete and needs to get the ball out quickly. If a WC coach with a QB need is drafting he may be the best option. I think he winds up going anywhere from 20-35 in the draft. Someone will trade back into the first to snag him, ala Brady Quinn. His game is similar to Quinn’s. Sad to say as it hasn’t fared well for Brady.

  • GoJoeBruinUCLA

    The Anthony Barr inclusion in the top-15 is as ballsy as they come. I cover UCLA for my network and I can say that he’s a freakish athlete with unreal speed and a good punch to his tackles (after all, he was the guy who separated Barkley’s shoulder). He’s a tad lanky for an NFL LB though, and he’s done well in coverage, roaming around when asked. He did well against the Stanford TEs in preventing them from getting into the endzone and so I think he may be a LB-Safety hybrid at the next level.

    You’re the only mock draft I’ve seen that includes him this high but I think most UCLA fans feel like he has that kind of potential. He’s still relatively unknown and it’s his first year as a defensive player, so perhaps another year at UCLA might boost his overall visibility. (Or maybe I just want him back for another year …)

  • neigherhood drunk

    Hey Brad, when are you going to start a 3 round mock?

    • bradc11

      I will start with 2 and 3 round mocks once underclassmen declare, so expect them to come in mid-January. Maybe I’ll throw a 2 round before that.

      • neigherhood drunk

        Oh Ok thanks.

  • Ryan

    The Rams are weakest at OT & WR. We do not need a OG or OLB in the 1st round. Keenan Allen and the best avaliable OT (Lewman or Matthews).

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