NFL's Future

2014 NFL Mock Draft

This week’s 2013 NFL Mock Draft will be based on Mocking the Draft’s draft order with my take on the playoffs.  

"Geno Smith"

Will Geno Smith’s recent struggles cause him to fall in the 2013 NFL Draft

1. Kansas City Chiefs – Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

Romeo has passed off the defense and will be passing over the HC duties at the end of the season.  It’s been bad in KC and things don’t look brighter without a competitive quarterback.  Geno Smith may not be a No. 1 pick in any other year but KC’s need drives this pick.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars – Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M

Jacksonville has no pass rush and they were just manhandled by Detroit.  It’s ugly in Jacksonville and owner Shad Khan isn’t pleased, probably spelling the end to Gene Smith’s tenure as GM.  Moore is the most dynamic, productive pass rusher in the country.  Moore has said he doesn’t intend on leaving A&M after this season, but so does everyone when they are ten weeks in.  The lure of going in the top 5 will be too much to pass on for Moore and he makes a wise decision by entering the 2013 NFL Draft.

3. Cleveland Browns – Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

James Michael-Johnson has been a bright spot for the Browns defense.  That said, he could be in for a move to the weakside with Jones’ arrival in Cleveland.  The Browns need playmakers on this defense and Jones is the best in the draft at doing so.  Jones ability to rush the passer and force turnovers will be a welcomed addition for the new coaching staff that will inevitably be in place at season’s end.

4. Carolina Panthers – Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

The Panthers DE’s have been outstanding this season.  Unfortunately they get little help on the inside.  Hankins is a big body defender that has a lightning quick first step.  He’s a force against the run and can apply pressure to the quarterback.  His ability to make plays in the backfield will have him going before Star Lotulelei.

5. St. Louis Rams (f/WAS) – Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

The trade with Washington will pay off if the Rams are able to lock in Luke Joeckel.  Joeckel is a worthy top five selection that can secure the blindside for Sam Bradford for a decade.  Joeckel has been very impressive in 2012 and showed that he can be an elite tackle.

6. Tennessee Titans – Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah

The Titans have some young talent at DT but none in the realm of Star Lotulelei.  Lotulelei gives the Titans a force in the middle making everyone around him better.  Certainly there are bigger needs for the Titans but adding a stud DT is never a bad idea.

7. Cincinnati Bengals – Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU

Mingo will blaze the combine and excel in pre-draft workouts but the reality is that he hasn’t been as productive as you would like for someone of his skill level.  Mingo’s versatility to put his hand in the dirt and stand up could intrigue the Bengals.

8. New Orleans Saints – Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

New Orleans won’t be bringing back Will Smith so a replacement will be key in this draft.  The Saints lack of pass rush (until the Eagles game) has been a problem for a bad defense.  Finding a speed rusher to play opposite Cam Jordan has to be a priority.  Werner’s ceiling is through the roof and he’s exactly what is needed in New Orleans.

9. Buffalo Bills – Matt Barkley, QB, USC

Chan Gailey is likely to be gone after this season.  The new coaching regime will need to identify a signal caller not named Ryan Fitzpatrick.  With Barkley on the board on No. 9 it will be tough to pass on despite not warranting this high of a selection.  Barkley’s struggles in 2012 haven’t helped his draft stock and it would be a blessing if he went in the top 10 at this point.

Check out this link for what an NFL personnel director thinks about Barkley.

10. Oakland Raiders – Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU

The Raiders have little speed off the edge.  Montgomery may not be the athlete that Mingo is but he’s a more than adequate pass rusher.  I like Montgomery’s game translating to the NFL more than any other pass rusher in the draft and I think he winds up a steal at No. 10.

11. St. Louis Rams – Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama

The Rams use their top two picks on the offensive line.  It’s clear that protecting Sam Bradford is a priority but they lack the talent on their current depth chart to get the job done.  Adding Joeckel at LT and Warmack at guard makes this a formidable line.

12. Philadelphia Eagles – Matt Elam, SS, Florida

Neither safety spot is particularly good in Philly.  Elam is emerging as the clear cut top safety in this draft, should he declare.  His ability to play centerfield and be a force in the run game will be too tough to pass on for the Eagles.

13. New York Jets – Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon"Dion Jordan"

Is Rex Ryan done in NY?  I think so.  His defense has been underwhelming and in need of a legit pass rusher.  Jordan has freakish physical tools which will be intriguing for many teams inside the top 10.  If he makes it out of the top 10, the Jets should pounce.

14. Dallas Cowboys – Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas

The Cowboys aren’t winning with Tony Romo at the helm, leaving Jerry Jones to hit up the Arkansas program for a signal caller of the future.  Many have Wilson out of the first round but I’m not going that far.  I thought heading into the season that Wilson could surpass Barkley for the top QB spot.  I was wrong about that but I think he has starter qualities that make him a solid value at No. 14 in our 2013 NFL Mock Draft.

15. Arizona Cardinals – Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan

The Cards are going with Nate Potter at LT.  Clearly that’s a bad sign.  Lewan has come on strong as the season progressed and getting him at No. 15 is a solid value.  Don’t ask me why the Cards haven’t picked up Brian Hoyer at this point.  They need a quarterback and John Skelton is not getting it done.

16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

The Bucs traded away Aqib Talib and have little outside Eric Wright at the position.  Milliner is a better overall cornerback than Dre Kirkpatrick who went 17th in the 2012 NFL Draft.  Milliner is a steal if he lasts this long as he has a top 10 ranking for me.

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  • Reggie

    Detroit picking around 17-20 is about right. Alec Ogletree would be a nice addition to the team. I agree Levy has had a very good season and his ability to play all three positions adds to his value. Durant is a Free Agent as well so OLB could be a need if we resign Delmas, Houston, Avril, and Cherlius.

    • bradc11

      Reggie,

      Thanks, forgot about Durant. I’m working on a 2013 free agent piece that will be up tomorrow morning. I’m a huge fan of Ogletree’s and think he would be great on this defense. He’s super athletic and instantly makes this defense better. I liked him better than any of the DE’s and DB’s at this point.

  • Bauercody

    Hi Brad!
    I am just not seeing a top 5 pick in Jonathan Hankins. His 2011 tape and even the first few games this season he was playing well but his last 6 games he’s really just been a non factor. Star Lotulelei and Sheldon Richardson should both be ranked above him.

    As far as a Packers I have to correct you in your write up, James Jones has been a very consistent receiver for this team. He’s cleaned up his drops, is still hard to bring down after the catch and can actually make some really tough catches. Having said that I wouldn’t be surprised if they drafted a recevier early. I beleive Robert Woods fits our offense and almsot seems like a Packers selection (like a young version of Greg Jennings) because he runs good routes, and has good hands but I think there is better talent on the board. Woods to me doesn’t seem as fast this year, he hasn’t had as many big plays, he’s almost more of a slot possesion guy, which is fine but we have our slot guy of the future in Cobb. For me it would be hard to pass on Justin Hunter out of Tennessee if we went WR in the 1st. After the combine I don’t think he drops out of the first half but once his knee fully heals there isn’t a more explosive WR in the draft. I’m also very high on DeAndre Hopkins and wouldn’t mind taking him over Woods.
    Other players I would consider: Tyler Eifert, Jonathan Cooper (to play center), Tony Jefferson…

    • Reggie

      James Jones is talented but I would not like to count on him. Greg Jennings is a big blow but one that has to go. Donald Driver will hurt depth wise but is done. Woods, Nelson, Cobb, and Jones is a nice 4. I agree though on Hopkins who I like more than Woods.

    • bradc11

      Long time, no hear Bauercody. Good to have you back commenting.

      Hankins is a force in the middle. His lightning quick first step makes him unblockable at times. Agreed, his production has been down over the last couple weeks but he’s on a bad wheel and teams are throwing the kitchen sink his way. I get to see him live on almost every Saturday and watched spring/summer practices…he’s unblockable when he gets out of his stance quickly. Love Richardson but he’s a notch below Hankins for see. Ditto for Star.

      Jones has been much better this season with Jennings on the pine. Over the course of his career, I’m not sure the Packers will want to move forward with him as a No. 2 receiver. Trust me, you know better than I do as I watch the Pack a couple times a year but that’s my take on Jones.

      I’m not a fan of Hunter’s. A little inconsistent for my blood. I’d take Woods over Hunter, despite the difference in physical gifts. No doubt Hunter blows up pre-draft workouts but I would caution against falling in love with his numbers. Obviously, health is a major concern but his hands have been very average this season and he’s not as crisp in and out of breaks as you would like from a potential first rounder. I like DeAndre Hopkins a lot but I’ve been hearing he’s going to stay in school to finish out on a high note next season. Clemson looks very good on paper for 2013.

      I switched this pick twice from Tony Jefferson back to Woods. Eifert got a lot of consideration as well.

      Good hearing from you and keep the comments coming.

  • Reggie

    Brad,
    Was Surprised you have Moore over Jarvis Jones? What was your reasoning? It wasnt so the Browns would get him is it? Also if the Jaguars take a defensive player do they take a QB in the 2nd Round? Gabbert is just awful and easily a bottom 5 QB in the league. Improvements from last season but that is not saying much.

    • bradc11

      I went with Moore due to positional value. I’m not sure Jones is as good as Von Miller. Not to take anything away from him, just don’t rank him as high as Miller, which is saying something about Miller because Jones is my top overall prospect. Moore is quickly becoming a favorite of mine. Loved him last week despite injury and really looking forward to this weekend. If Moore and Jones were on the board when the Browns picked, I would want Moore. DE is a major need and with JMJ playing well, the OLB need has dropped significantly. When my next big board comes out these two could be atop it.

      I think JAC gives Gabbert another year but drafts someone early in this draft. I would look at round 2 or trading back into first for Wilson. No doubt he’s a bottom 5 QB.

  • neightborhood drunk

    Pittsburgh Steelers aren’t drafting a RB in the first round, sir. They already have Redman and Dwyer. OLB,ILB or S is a realistic pick in the first round.

  • Logan

    Hey Brad, I just wanted to comment on your selection for the Colts. While I think getting Allen that late could be a steal, I don’t think it really would be in the best long-term interest of the team, particularly Andrew Luck. Like most elite quarterbacks, Luck is able ot manuever in the pocket to buy himself some time, but more often than not he has had to run for his life because of a porus offensive line. While the Colts seem to sold on Samson Satele at center for another year and Anthony Costanzo is developing into a good-looking left tackle, both guard positions and right tackle could use an upgrade and would do more for the offense than adding another wide reciever. With that I mind, I personally would look at either Barret Jones (the coaching staff would likely value his intelligence or versatility) or, my personal favorite, Jake Matthews (for his bloodlines and strong play against the elite rushers of the SEC from the right side). Ryan Grigson is a former offensive lineman and Chuck Pagano and Bruce Arians want to be able to run the ball. That means improving up front and this looks to be a good lineman class and a poor reciever class. I don’t think that fact is lost on them.