2013 NFL Mock Draft – October 26th Edition

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1. Kansas City Chiefs – Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

Brady Quinn is replacing Matt Cassel.  Enough said.  The Chiefs will most likely take on a new GM, HC, and staff after another abysmal season.  Matt Cassel is definitely done in KC leaving the Chiefs with a major need at QB.  It’s debatable whether Geno Smith is worthy of this high of a pick but need may drive this one for whoever takes over for Pioli.

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars – Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU

"Barkevious Mingo"

Can Mingo get it going in 2012?

The Jags inability to pressure opposing quarterbacks is killing their defense.  Barkevious Mingo hasn’t been as productive in 2012 as many expected but there is no doubting his pass rushing ability.  The current starting ends for Jacksonville have combined for one sack through six games.

3.  Cleveland Browns – Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

The Browns pass rush has been non-existent through the first six games of the season.  They have needs on defense that should push the new GM (0% chance Heckert is in Cleveland for 2013) to address early in the draft.  Jones started 2012 off with a bang but injuries have slowed him down.  That said, he’s the most dynamic defensive player in this draft when healthy which is exactly what Jimmy Haslem and Co. will be looking for in April.

4.  Carolina Panthers – Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

Star Lotulelei is really good but I’m not sure that Hankins isn’t better.  He has a lightning quick first step for a man that size which will intrigue teams in the top five of this draft.  If he falls anywhere near Carolina, I would expect that they swoop him up.

5.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

The Bucs have a ton of money wrapped up in an offensive line that has under produced.  Jeremy Trueblood has lost his starting right tackle spot which Joeckel could jump into immediately.  The Bucs may be best served by playing Joeckel on the left side and moving Donald Penn to right tackle.  This pick gives them some much needed flexibility on the OL.

6.  Oakland Raiders – Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah

Tommy Kelly is a headache that is just not worth the enormous contract.  He could be easily replaced by Star Lotulelei.  Star was spectacular early on versus USC and solidified himself as a top shelf prospect in the 2013 NFL Draft. 

7.  Detroit Lions – Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU

The Lions need help in the secondary but a pass rusher may trump that need.  Montgomery has outperformed No. 2 pick Barkevious Mingo but doesn’t possess his enormous ceiling.  That said, he’s a good fit for this defense.  They will look to shore up the secondary in day two of the 2013 NFL Draft.

8.  Tennessee Titans – Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

Derrick Morgan and Kamerion Wimbley are solid players but neither brings the skill set that Werner possesses.  Werner is still relatively new to football which is a scary prospect given his level of collegiate production.  The sky is the limit for Werner as he grows into an NFL pass rusher.

9.  St. Louis Rams – Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan

The offensive line struggles in STL are well documented.  Sam Bradford is quickly becoming a candidate to the next David Carr and STL has to address this area heavily in the offseason.  Lewan has been solid since struggling against Alabama in week one.  He’s athletic and should allow Rodger Saffold to move back to the right side, his more natural position.

10.  Buffalo Bills – Matt Barkley, QB, USC

Ryan Fitzpatrick isn’t a long-term answer to Buffalo’s problems.  Chan Gailey and crew could be headed for their last season in Buffalo and the new regime would welcome a change at the QB position.

11.  Indianapolis Colts – Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon

Dion Jordan is a freak athlete that will rise up draft boards as the pre-draft process wears on.  At 6’6”, 244 pounds he size and athleticism to transition from college end to standup linebacker in the NFL.  With Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis age and contracts it’s conceivable that the Colts could let one of them walk to bring in a long term solution at the OLB spot.

12.  Arizona Cardinals – Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas

The Cards are sliding after a 4-0 start and I see a crash and burn end to the season.  They need help at QB in the worst of ways.  Wilson hasn’t been great in 2012 but injuries and coaching drama are a large part of that.  There’s no doubts that Wilson has an NFL skill set and could be an NFL starter quickly.

13.  Cincinnati Bengals – Giovanni Bernard, RB, North Carolina"Giovani Bernard"

Three losses in a row has the Bengals reeling.  They get nothing out of the run game and are in major need of an upgrade at the position.  Bernard is rolling right now and may surpass Marcus Lattimore as the top back should the redshirt sophomore forgo his final two years of eligibility.

14.  New Orleans Saints – Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri

The Saints need some serious upgrades on the defensive line.  They really could use a pass rusher at the end spot but the value here is with Richardson.  Richardson has been as disruptive as any DT in this year’s class, which is saying a lot with two DT’s going in the top 5 picks.

15.  Dallas Cowboys – Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama

The guard position has been a sore spot in this offensive line for a couple of years.  Warmack is as highly regarded as any guard prospect in the recent past and warrants a top 15 selection.

16.  Miami Dolphins – Keenan Allen, WR, Cal

Finding Ryan Tannehill a premier target is critical to his development.  Tannehill has played better than expected this early without a big time receiver to throw to.  Brian Hartline and Davone Bess are solid but not spectacular, Allen can add that to this emerging offense.

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Author: Brad

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  • Mprofetta

    Nice call on Giovanni Bernard. Lattimore (injuries/lack of burst) is more of a mid/late first-rounder. Bernard is the only RB worth looking at in the top 15.

    I’m surprised that you have excluded Damontre Moore. He doesn’t offer the athletic upside of J. Jones, Mingo or Jordan, but it’s impossible to ignore his production. He’s a riser.

    I have a hunch that Mingo will ultimately come off the board a bit lower than most are predicting right now. He’s a freak, but there is some risk involved with him. My money says that Hankins emerges as the #2 pick.

    • Reggie

      Agree with Bernard. His burst through the line is 1st Round worthy. Lattimore is a dime a dozen who should be late 1st if not early 2nd.
      Damontre Moore production is crazy and I would have him over Jordan. You take too many risks in the first and you tend to get burned.
      Lower production with increased attention isnt a great excuse for Mingo. He has a ton of players around him and at some point you need to produce.
      Hankins over Lotulelei? Close call I guess it is preference and defensive scheme.

      • Mprofetta

        Can’t go wrong with Hankins or Lotulelei. I just think that Hankins has more upside. They’re both relatively safe picks, and with DT-needy teams like Carolina, Oakland, New Orleans (and maybe even Dallas) likely headed for top ten spots in the ’13 NFL draft, they’ll both pop off quickly. If Kansas City misses out on Geno Smith, they could also look at Hankins/Lotulelei. They have no need for pass-rushers with Hali & Houston in the fold. With Pioli mistakes Glen Dorsey & Tyson Jackson (mercifully) coming off the books in the next two years, the new regime could look to rebuild the D-line.

        Mingo hasn’t been awful, but all of the top-five projections seem to be based more on his upside and reputation. Like you suggested, a team looking for a pass-rusher could prefer a safer option like Moore, or even a trade-down for someone like Okafor, Breslin, Chase Thomas or Tank Carradine. It’s not as if Bingo will be the only pass-rusher with freakish upside available in the first round of the ’13 Draft. Werner and Lewis also fit the description…especially Lewis. 6-7…4.6 speed…perhaps the longest arms in the draft…Brad is right- if Bruce Irvin can get drafted at #15, Lewis may not escape the top ten after his Combine performance/workouts.

        • Mprofetta

          Jordan, not Lewis. I mixed up my Dions.

          • Reggie

            Werner is the real prize at DE to me. I know he has dropped some weight but he has an amazing speed/strength combination. I love the all out effort and aggresion he uses. If the Lions could get him to go with Suh and Fairley that could be special.

          • Mprofetta

            Yeah, Werner is the real deal. He’s really intriguing. He’s barely scratched the surface and can do so many different things well. I could see him starting his career as an edge rusher, then filling out and evolving into a Justin Smith-type 3-4 DE. I doubt that the Lions will draft high enough to sniff him. I think that we’ll see the Vikings fade and Detroit make a push for the last NFC playoff spot. I don’t think that Sam Montgomery is a top-ten guy…he could be an option in that 17-24 range for the Lions. I have to think that a CB like Banks, Rhodes, or Amerson would be seriously considered, too.