2012 NFL Mock Draft : T-Minus 23 Days

Posted by Brad On April - 3 - 2012

"2012 NFL Mock Draft"1.  Indianapolis Colts – Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford

Any hype of the Colts entertaining the notion of taking Robert Griffin III ahead of Andrew Luck will be squashed in a matter of weeks.  The Colts will open up negotiations with Luck very soon and this pick is probably done before the 26th.  As much as I love RGIII, Luck has been and will be the draft’s top selection.  He’s as pro-ready as any QB in recent memory and I would argue ever.

2.  Washington Redskins – Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor

The Redskins traded the farm for Griffin and rightfully so.  He’s a special talent that is capable of beating teams in an assortment of ways.  Griffin’s game transitions to today’s NFL very well and due to that he has people buzzing about higher upside than Luck.  It really is splitting hairs…all I know is that both are going to be very good NFL QB’s.

3.  Minnesota Vikings – Matt Kalil, OT, Minnesota Vikings

I just can’t wrap my head around the Vikings passing on a franchise LT.  As good as Morris Claiborne is (and he’s real good) there’s not a chance Rick Spielman doesn’t come out of this draft with Kalil.  I say that with 90% confidence.

4.  Cleveland Browns – Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama

My head says Morris Claiborne but my heart says TR.  Come on, I’m a Browns fan; you know I’m going with my heart.  I really think this organization goes with an offensive playmaker with this pick and he won’t be named Justin Blackmon.  The only deal breaker will be if Heckert/Shurmur/Chilly fall in love with Ryan Tannehill.  This city doesn’t have the patience to wait on Tannehill’s development and the Heckert/Holmgren tandem know they won’t be around to see him develop.  Hence, the Richardson pick.

5.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU

This pick gets interesting if Richardson and Claiborne are on the board.  With TR going one spot ahead of them the decision becomes very easy.  The Bucs signed Eric Wright to a deal but he’s not the answer especially if Aqib Talib is suspended.  Ronde Barber is minutes away from retirement and this may be his last rodeo.  Claiborne gives the Bucs a legit No. 1 corner to pair with Wright/Talib for the long haul.

6.  St. Louis Rams – Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma St.

A lot of buzz about the Rams going DT here but I can’t see them passing on a weapon for Bradford.  They desperately need to surround Bradford with legit weapons before he is completely ruined.  Bradford took major steps backward in 2011, mostly due to the lack of protection and playmakers.  Blackmon’s combination of size, strength, and athleticism make him dangerous in the vertical game and with the ball in his hands.

7.  Jacksonville Jaguars – Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina

Ingram fills a need area and fits the style of player that Gene Smith covets.  Ingram blew up the entire pre-draft process after a monster 2011 season.  He’s as versatile as any defender in the draft, being able to play RDE, 3T, and rush linebacker.  What Ingram lacks in size/arm length he more than makes up for with a non-stop motor.  The Jags need a receiver but I’m not sold on Smith pulling the trigger on Michael Floyd.

8.  Miami Dolphins – Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M

The Dolphins need some positive after a shaky offseason which included trading Brandon Marshall, whiffing on Peyton and Flynn, and Jeff Ireland protests.  While I’m not the President of the Ryan Tannehill fan club, I am a member.  I’m probably in the minority on this one; but I don’t think he’s as far off from being a starting QB as some believe.  Let’s face it the Dolphins are likely cellar dwellers in 2012 and Tannehill could start by the middle of October.

9.  Carolina Panthers – Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina

DT or DE seem to be the modus operandi when it comes to the Panthers.  The Panthers welcome back Ron Edwards and spent (two) third-round picks on Sione Fua and Terrell McClain.  I see CB as this team’s biggest need.  Captain Munnerlyn has the look of a nickel back, leaving them without a running mate for Chris Gamble.  Gilmore is gaining traction after displaying elite athleticism at his size.  Mike Mayock appears dead set on driving the Gilmore bus into the top ten and I’m on board.  In all seriousness, guys with this combination of size/athleticism don’t come around often.  The great thing with Gilmore is that he actually has the tape to back it up.

10.  Buffalo Bills – Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame

I had Buffalo pegged for the Gilmore selection but Carolina screwed that up.  It’s a win-win for the Bills as they get a highly productive Z receiver to pair with Stevie Johnson.  I don’t see a top 10 tackle after Kalil, so I don’t expect the Bills to reach for Reiff, Martin, or Adams.  Floyd can take the top off the defense with his ability to demand safety help.  Ryan Fitzpatrick should love this selection.

11.  Kansas City Chiefs – Dontari Poe, NT, Memphis

I’m not sold on Poe’s best position as a “30” front NT.  Poe offers the “wow” factor despite limited collegiate production.  His blend of size, speed, and overall athleticism is a thing of freakish beauty.  The Chiefs have been active in free agency but completely ignored their need at NT.  I don’t see the Chiefs passing on Poe unless they absolutely fall in love with David DeCastro.

12.  Seattle Seahawks – Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina

Big time value pick here for Pete Carroll.  Coples’ versatility would be a huge plus for this defense with the flexibility to interchange parts.  Gus Bradley’s fast flowing defense needs speed at all positions and Coples would add just that.

13.  Arizona Cardinals – David DeCastro, OG, Stanford

DeCastro can play multiple spots on the offensive line and the Cardinals need quality up front.  I see Reiff, Martin, and/or Adams as a reaches at this point.  DeCastro is a top ten talent that fits in any blocking scheme.  His time at Stanford will prove valuable as he will step in from day one as a starter on the Cards OL….it could be at RT.

14.  Dallas Cowboys – Fletcher Cox, DE, Mississippi St.

Dallas did a nice job filling holes in free agency (minus the two guards).  Cox gives them a force at the five-technique which they have lacked.  He has elite movement skills and Dallas fans will love his motor.  His pad level and get off are inconsistent but he makes up for it with the tenacity he plays with.

15.  Philadelphia Eagles – Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama

Asante Samuel may be dealt before the draft and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie underperformed in 2011.  Kirkpatrick could be a great complement to Asomugha and DRC.  It’s almost sad to think the Eagles would have a first round need at this position after their 2011 free agent haul.

16.  New York Jets – Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech

I don’t have many Jets fans that read my site at this point, so I’m fully comfortable in selecting Stephen Hill at 16.  The Jets need an edge rusher but it may be too high for the likes of Courtney Upshaw, Andre Branch, Nick Perry, etc.  Whitney Mercilus could be interesting as this appears to be good value but I don’t see him as a good transition to standing up.  For that reason, they roll the dice on Hill.  Hill’s lack of touches is merely a product of the system and shouldn’t be held against him.  Someone is going to fall in love with this guy’s skill set and take him in the top 20…why not the team with Santonio Holmes…and…

17.  Cincinnati Bengals – Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College

The Bengals get an absolute steal at this point.  ILB may not be the biggest of needs but adding this type of talent to the middle of the defense is never a bad thing.  Especially when you steal this pick from the Oakland Raiders.

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  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Michael-Boyle/7407186 Michael Boyle

    Did I sleep through it or when did the Patriots add Tony Gonzalez?

    • Brad

      Anthony Gonzalez from Indy.

  • Reggie

    Patriots added Anthony Gonzalez right…the WR not the TE?

    • bradc11

      Anthony, old habits are hard to break

  • Reggie

    I am not sure I follow on the Trumaine Johnson in the second round. He has size but I hear he is stiff and that could lead to problems with speed receivers….he is physical though and has some safety potential.

    • bradc11

      Tru Johnson’s stiffness may be a bit over exaggerated. I don’t see him being to stiff to play with speed receivers. He has the size to play safety but looks like a natural corner. He’s a guy that is scheme diverse…could excel in man, press man, off man, and zone. He will have to answer questions about character but if not for that he may be a first round pick.

      • Reggie

        Well I trust your ability to scout players….I just worry about him. Jennings, Cobb, Harvin are all quick players and Johnson might struggle with them….we shall see. Love MErcilus and Blake. I think both are exceptional skills and values. Blake can play OG in year 1 and than move to center and Mercilus gives us options with Avril.

        • bradc11

          There’s a ton of people that see Johnson the way you do and I may be totally off base. Certainly I’m in the minority on him but I think he’s a late 1 if he checks out from the character side. I like him more than DRC who was a mid-1. Not as fast but more polished from a technique standpoint. Detroit is a zone heavy team which makes me think he’s a great fit…although I think he can play in man…especially press man.

  • Jsteppling

    A lot to think about Brad. I dont see Jenkins falling out of the first. Trumaine Johnson makes great sense, except I still think Detroit would go CB in the first. Josh Chapman is going to be the all time steal if he falls that far, and he might. Ditto Brandon Thompson (to a lesser degree). I think Reyes goes to GB in the first. I dont think Branch falls that far. I think Brandon Boykin goes no latter than early 3rd. Pitt might well go with Adams…makes sense…is a nice fit…but they’ll go defense in the second. Its their nature. Totally agree about Mitch Schwartz…I said all last year the best tackle west of the rockies was MS. I have a feeling mike martin wont last that long either. The thing is, with such a weak tackle class, I can see teams just passing early on guys like Rieff and Martin. SF is the trickiest prediction……i can see Coby Fleener, I can an OL, and I can see a DL. Thats another team that will take a long look at Reyes.

    • bradc11

      I really struggle on Reyes. I might be missing the boat on him but I see a third-rounder when I watch him.

      Just so you know I was eerily close to mocking Silatolu to the Niners. Fits their scheme really well and a high upside guy that JH would take a chance on. I think he’s that good to warrant a look in late one

  • Jsteppling

    You think Steed goes ahead of Boykin? And Miles Burris (Im big on burris) wont last out the second day. Demario Davis is a hot topic — might go in the 2nd even. Wagner had an epic pro day from all accounts…..also a possible early 2nd round guy. I just dont see Curry going so high….Im in the minority I guess, but he says 3rd round to me. At best. And TeAmu…..i dont love him, but he’s been mocked late first by Ourlads and others. Be interesting to see where he goes. JM johnson seems hard to keep out of the third…..he’s a real steal if he gets to the 4th round. Kyle Wilber the same. Guys like Randle and Sanu seem to me way overrated…..but they’re big….or bigger than average….so they get overdrafted. And Nick Perry….man, I have him going to the Jets in the first. Those edge rushers always go higher than maybe they should.

    • bradc11

      I like Boykin better from a personal standpoint but I’m not doing the drafting. There are concerns with Boykin’s small frame and fears he may just be a nickel corner in the NFL. I like him a lot…top of second to middle of 2nd for me. Curry is a high motor guy that will get drafted earlier than most expect. He’s a mid 2 for me but I’m not sure he lasts that long. Ta’amu is like 95th amongst my prospects and I really think his value has been overblown by some. Anyone that has him as a first I need to sit down with them and see what they are seeing. I was fortunate to get my hands on 4 Washington tapes and I didn’t like him in any of them. My impression of him before those tapes from games I watched on TV was late 3-4. I stayed the same after watching those. You are going to love my Burris piece today and I agree. I think he could wind up in the 3rd which is a good step for him as most had him pegged as a late round guy. Perry is a polarizing guy, I just don’t see the consistency from him that I would want out of a 1st round pass rusher. I think he’s a base end that may struggle standing up….despite his physical prowess. I like Sanu but Randle scares me a bit. He needs to develop which requires a ton of work and stuff I’m hearing is that he doesn’t like to work hard. May be complete BS but time will tell on him.

  • ThePhoenix

    not a bad mock. I love the floyd pick for the Bills

    • bradc11

      I love the Floyd pick as well but I love all of my picks.

  • Jsteppling

    Ive been reading a lot of mocks lately, and I have to say Brad, this is the best. The most reasoned and informative. Ive been thinking about two things….one is the Poe and Brockers question. These are picks that would be based on potential….not production. In the case of Brockers….ok….I can ‘see” what he can do, he just hasnt done it a lot. Poe, when you watch his tape, really HASNT produced at all. He would scare me. Both would scare me above maybe the 25th pick. Then Cox….I get it, but he scares me too. I dont see the production…I see great potential…and some production. Anyway, my point is that I see in Reyes a guy who has produced….not hugely, but he has. And it skewed because he played for Uconn. The same hype exists with QBs. I mean is tannehill or Weeden really first and second round talent? No, not really. TJ Yates should have alerted GMs to the reality. So….I love Ingram, Coples, B.Thompson, Josh Chapman, Crick to a lesser degree, and even Perry. I agree about perry, but somehow he got it done a lot at USC. He made an impact. I love Mercillus, too, but with reservations. This is why guys like Ronnell Lewis and Burris and mcClellin look like smart picks. Low floor to all those guys. Maybe not really high ceilings, but low floors. Ditto Upshaw and Hightower. Say what you want, Upshaw isnt going to be a bust. Just some random thoughts…thanks for bearing with me.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/David-Sieradzki/100001654452929 David Sieradzki

    Adams sucks. I don’t want that loser bum on my Steelers.
    Give the Steelers Hightower in the first instead and I’d love their first three rounds.

  • http://www.weberclean.com/ Kyle-Carpet Cleaning Fargo ND

    Love Hightower, would be an absolute steal for the ravens at 29 if he is their.

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